{"id":39600,"date":"2025-04-10T08:01:45","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T08:01:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/%e3%82%ab%e3%83%86%e3%82%b4%e3%83%aa%e3%83%bc%e3%81%aa%e3%81%97\/what-makes-a-good-and-bad-pharmaceutical-forecast-model\/"},"modified":"2025-09-09T02:48:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T02:48:03","slug":"what-makes-a-good-and-bad-pharmaceutical-forecast-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/blog\/what-makes-a-good-and-bad-pharmaceutical-forecast-model\/","title":{"rendered":"\u533b\u85ac\u54c1\u58f2\u4e0a\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u8a08\u306e\u30d9\u30b9\u30c8\u30d7\u30e9\u30af\u30c6\u30a3\u30b9\uff1a\u6226\u7565\u7684\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u5c0e\u304f\u305f\u3081\u306b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u52b9\u679c\u7684\u304b\u3064\u52b9\u7387\u7684\u306a\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u884c\u3046\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/solutions\/custom-model-build\/\">\u512a\u308c\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u69cb\u7bc9<\/a>\u304c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u4fe1\u983c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u76ee\u6a19\u306e\u9054\u6210\u3084\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\uff0f\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u6210\u9577\u3092\u652f\u63f4\u3057\u3001\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3084\u6a5f\u4f1a\u306e\u5b9a\u91cf\u5316\u3092\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u672c\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u88fd\u85ac\u696d\u754c\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u6210\u529f\u306b\u5c0e\u304f\u305f\u3081\u306e\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u8981\u7d20\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u89e3\u8aac\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/blog\/how-can-you-improve-efficiencies-in-your-long-range-planning\/\">\u9577\u671f\u4e88\u6e2c\uff08<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/blog\/how-can-you-improve-efficiencies-in-your-long-range-planning\/\">long range forecasting<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/blog\/how-can-you-improve-efficiencies-in-your-long-range-planning\/\">\uff09<\/a>\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066100\uff05\u306e\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u5b9f\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u8a8d\u8b58\u3067\u3059\u3002\u5b9f\u969b\u3001\u3042\u308b\u8abf\u67fb\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u88fd\u85ac\u696d\u754c\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u6700\u5927\u306740\uff05\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u304c\u751f\u3058\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u5831\u544a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\uff08\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e1\uff09\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u4e0d\u6b63\u78ba\u3055\u306e\u591a\u304f\u306f\u3001\u900f\u660e\u6027\u306b\u6b20\u3051\u3001\u30d9\u30b9\u30c8\u30d7\u30e9\u30af\u30c6\u30a3\u30b9\u306b\u5247\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u8a08\u3084\u3001\u6839\u62e0\u306e\u4e4f\u3057\u3044\u4eee\u5b9a\u306b\u8d77\u56e0\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u6700\u5c0f\u9650\u306b\u6291\u3048\u3001\u4eee\u5b9a\u306e\u5f31\u70b9\u3092\u7279\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u8a2d\u8a08\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30a8\u30d0\u30ea\u30e5\u30a8\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/solutions\/custom-model-build\/\">\u88fd\u85ac\u696d\u754c\u5411\u3051\u306b\u30ab\u30b9\u30bf\u30de\u30a4\u30ba\u3055\u308c\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/a>\u306e\u8c4a\u5bcc\u306a\u69cb\u7bc9\u7d4c\u9a13\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u3001\u6210\u529f\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u3054\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>1. \u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u8a08\u6642\u306b\u300c\u826f\u3044\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u306f\u4f55\u304b\u300d\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u3059\u308b<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u7cbe\u5ea6\u304c\u4f4e\u304f\u306a\u308b\u539f\u56e0\u306e\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306f\u3001\u88fd\u85ac\u696d\u754c\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u539f\u5247\u3092\u5341\u5206\u306b\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u3088\u308b\u8a2d\u8a08\u3067\u3059\u3002\u9069\u5207\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u69cb\u9020\u3084\u4e88\u6e2c\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u9078\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u30a2\u30d7\u30ed\u30fc\u30c1\u3084\u601d\u8003\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u304c\u4e0d\u8db3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u6839\u672c\u7684\u306a\u8aa4\u308a\u304c\u751f\u3058\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u4e0a\u306e\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3068\u6574\u5408\u6027\u306e\u53d6\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u4fa1\u5024\u3092\u751f\u307f\u51fa\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #4a0a6a;\"><em><strong>\u300c\u7af6\u4e89\u529b\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5148\u5165\u89b3\u3092\u6392\u9664\u3057\u3001\u4eee\u5b9a\u3092\u6b63\u5f53\u5316\u3057\u3001\u6a5f\u4f1a\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u5316\u3057\u3001\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u5b9a\u91cf\u5316\u3067\u304d\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u300d<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u63a8\u5968\u30a2\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a<\/strong>\u202f \u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u969b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u75be\u60a3\u69cb\u9020\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3084\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u8907\u96d1\u6027\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u305f\u3046\u3048\u3067\u3001\u9069\u5207\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u69cb\u9020\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u9078\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u8907\u96d1\u306a\u75be\u60a3\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u9ad8\u5ea6\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3092\u652f\u3048\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u4eee\u5b9a\u304c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u3067\u3059\u3002Evaluate\u3067\u306f\u3001\u75be\u60a3\u3084\u6cbb\u7642\u9818\u57df\u306e\u69cb\u9020\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u305f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u8a08\u306e\u4eee\u6848\uff08\u30b9\u30c8\u30ed\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\uff09\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u7684\u306a\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u76e3\u67fb\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u3001\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u7167\u5408\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u306a\u3044\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u8abf\u6574\u3059\u308b\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u53ce\u96c6\u3059\u308b\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u4e0d\u8db3\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5909\u52d5\u6027\u3092\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u5316\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3069\u306e\u5bfe\u5fdc\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>2. 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\/>\n\u4e88\u6e2c\u304b\u3089\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u6392\u9664\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u56f0\u96e3\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4eee\u5b9a\u3068\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u660e\u78ba\u304b\u3064\u900f\u660e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u904e\u5ea6\u306b\u697d\u89b3\u7684\u307e\u305f\u306f\u60b2\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u5165\u529b\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u63a8\u5968\u30a2\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a<\/strong>\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u304a\u3088\u3073\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u9069\u7528\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u3084\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u3066\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u3092\u628a\u63e1\u3057\u3001\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u65b0\u88fd\u54c1\u306e\u4e0a\u5e02\u306a\u3069\u306e\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5909\u5316\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3092\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u5316\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u5230\u9054\u307e\u3067\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u306e\u51fa\u6240\u3001\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30b7\u30a7\u30a2\u306a\u3069\u306e\u4eee\u5b9a\u304c\u660e\u793a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u900f\u660e\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30b9\u30c6\u30fc\u30af\u30db\u30eb\u30c0\u30fc\u304c\u305d\u306e\u5185\u5bb9\u3092\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u305f\u3046\u3048\u3067\u8b70\u8ad6\u30fb\u627f\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>3. \u8ab0\u3082\u304c\u4f7f\u3048\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u8a08<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u30a8\u30d0\u30ea\u30e5\u30a8\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u9577\u5e74\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u69cb\u7bc9\u306e\u7d4c\u9a13\u304b\u3089\u3001\u81ea\u793e\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u4ed6\u793e\u306e\u5931\u6557\u4e8b\u4f8b\u304b\u3089\u3082\u591a\u304f\u3092\u5b66\u3093\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u76ee\u306b\u3059\u308b\u591a\u304f\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u69cb\u9020\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u8a2d\u8a08\u306e\u4e0d\u5099\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u904e\u5ea6\u306b\u8907\u96d1\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u8ffd\u52a0\u3055\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3073\u306b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c\u6709\u6a5f\u7684\u306b\u81a8\u308c\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3001\u6570\u767e\u884c\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3084\u6570\u3048\u5207\u308c\u306a\u3044\u307b\u3069\u306e\u30bf\u30d6\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u3082\u73cd\u3057\u304f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u8ad6\u7406\u3084\u6307\u91dd\u304c\u4e0d\u660e\u77ad\u306a\u6570\u5b57\u306e\u96c6\u5408\u4f53\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u3078\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u3082\u640d\u306a\u308f\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u4f5c\u6210\u8005\u4ee5\u5916\u306b\u306f\u7406\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u300c\u4e00\u4eba\u7528\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u300d\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #4a0a6a;\"><strong>\u300c\u76ee\u7684\u306b\u5408\u308f\u306a\u3044\u30ec\u30ac\u30b7\u30fc\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u7d99\u3044\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u30c1\u30fc\u30e0\u306f\u3001\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u300d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u63a8\u5968\u30a2\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u9ad8\u5ea6\u306a\u30bd\u30d5\u30c8\u30a6\u30a7\u30a2\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u30bd\u30d5\u30c8\u30a6\u30a7\u30a2\u3068\u540c\u69d8\u306b\u30e6\u30fc\u30b6\u30fc\u8996\u70b9\u3067\u8a2d\u8a08\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3059\u3002Evaluate\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u30e6\u30fc\u30b6\u30d3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u5411\u4e0a\u306b\u6ce8\u529b\u3057\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/solutions\/custom-model-build\/\">\u30d9\u30b9\u30c8\u30d7\u30e9\u30af\u30c6\u30a3\u30b9\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u305f\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u30d0\u30a4\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u8a2d\u8a08\u30a2\u30d7\u30ed\u30fc\u30c1<\/a>\u3092\u63a1\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5404\u30bb\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u533a\u5206\u3055\u308c\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u4ed8\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u8a72\u5f53\u30bb\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3084\u6700\u7d42\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u793a\u3059\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3082\u542b\u307e\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u4e0d\u8981\u306a\u30b9\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u5de5\u592b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u8272\u3084\u30d5\u30a9\u30f3\u30c8\u30b5\u30a4\u30ba\u306e\u4f7f\u7528\u3092\u6700\u5c0f\u9650\u306b\u6291\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u30011\u3064\u306e\u30bf\u30d6\u306b\u904e\u5270\u306a\u884c\u6570\u3092\u542b\u3081\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3001\u5404\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30bb\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30921\u753b\u9762\u5185\u306b\u53ce\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306a\u3069\u304c\u6319\u3052\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>4. \u67d4\u8edf\u6027\u3092\u5099\u3048\u305f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u8a08<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u306f\u3001<strong>2\u3064\u306e\u67d4\u8edf\u6027<\/strong>\u304c\u6c42\u3081\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n1\u3064\u76ee\u306f\u3001\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3084\u4eee\u5b9a\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u969b\u306b\u3001\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u5165\u529b\u30fb\u66f4\u65b0\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3002<br \/>\n2\u3064\u76ee\u306f\u3001\u4eee\u5b9a\u3092\u8abf\u6574\u3057\u3066\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u30b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30b9\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3057\u305f\u308a\u3001\u697d\u89b3\u7684\uff0f\u60b2\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u5c06\u6765\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u305f\u72ec\u7acb\u3057\u305f\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u66f4\u65b0\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u5229\u70b9\u306f\u660e\u767d\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u306a\u305c\u30b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30b9\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3084\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1f<br \/>\n\u4e88\u6e2c\u4eee\u5b9a\u306e\u30b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30b9\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u306f\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u3067\u3059\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u6700\u3082\u5927\u304d\u306a\u5909\u5316\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3059\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u8981\u56e0\u3092\u7279\u5b9a\u3067\u304d\u308b\u307b\u304b\u3001\u4eee\u5b9a\u3084\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u5b8c\u5168\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u4f1d\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8005\u304c\u305d\u306e\u3070\u3089\u3064\u304d\u3092\u5341\u5206\u306b\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u305f\u3046\u3048\u3067\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u4e0b\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f\u8a08\u753b\u7b56\u5b9a\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7af6\u5408\u304c\u4e0a\u5e02\u3059\u308b\u304b\u5426\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u7570\u306a\u308b\u672a\u6765\u306e\u5c55\u958b\u3092\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u5316\u3057\u3001\u4e8b\u524d\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u7b56\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u3054\u3068\u306e\u30ea\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u8a55\u4fa1\u3059\u308b\u969b\u306b\u3082\u6d3b\u7528\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u63a8\u5968\u30a2\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a<\/strong>\u524d\u8ff0\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u304a\u3088\u3073\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u30a2\u30d7\u30ed\u30fc\u30c1\u3092\u6d3b\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b69\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6b21\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u30e9\u30d9\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3055\u308c\u305f\u8907\u6570\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u30d0\u30fc\u30b8\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u30fb\u7ba1\u7406\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002Evaluate\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6a5f\u80fd\u304c\u6a19\u6e96\u3067\u7d44\u307f\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u81ea\u52d5\u96c6\u8a08\u3084\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u6a5f\u80fd\u3082\u5099\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u30b9\u30c6\u30fc\u30af\u30db\u30eb\u30c0\u30fc\u3078\u306e\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u652f\u63f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>5. \u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3055\u3092\u4fdd\u3064<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u3092\u52a0\u3048\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3059\u308b\u52d5\u304d\u306f\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u95a2\u4fc2\u8005\u3054\u3068\u306b\u7570\u306a\u308b\u8996\u70b9\u3067\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u898b\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8981\u671b\u3084\u3001\u300c\u8907\u96d1\uff1d\u9ad8\u7cbe\u5ea6\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8aa4\u89e3\u304c\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u512a\u308c\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u62c5\u5f53\u8005\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u8ab0\u3082\u304c\u77e5\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u4e0d\u8981\u306a\u8907\u96d1\u3055\u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u6575\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6700\u826f\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3067\u3082\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4fdd\u5b88\u3084\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u56f0\u96e3\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6700\u60aa\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u4eee\u5b9a\u306e\u4e0a\u306b\u3055\u3089\u306b\u4eee\u5b9a\u304c\u7a4d\u307f\u91cd\u306a\u308a\u3001\u6700\u7d42\u7684\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3078\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u304c\u640d\u306a\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u63a8\u5968\u30a2\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\uff1a<\/strong>\u6210\u529f\u3059\u308b\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u652f\u63f4\u3059\u308b\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u3001\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u9650\u308a\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u30d0\u30e9\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u307e\u305a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u76ee\u7684\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u3053\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u793e\u5185\u306e\u3069\u306e\u6a5f\u80fd\u306b\u6d3b\u7528\u3055\u308c\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/li>\n<li>\u305d\u306e\u6a5f\u80fd\u304c\u3001\u6b63\u78ba\u3067\u6839\u62e0\u3042\u308b\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u884c\u3046\u305f\u3081\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3068\u306f\u4f55\u304b\uff1f<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u554f\u3044\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u5185\u306e\u5404\u8981\u7d20\u304c\u300c\u5fc5\u8981\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u300d\u306a\u306e\u304b\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3068\u3082\u300c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u4fbf\u5229\u300d\u306a\u3060\u3051\u306a\u306e\u304b\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u3001\u30b7\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3055\u3092\u4fdd\u3064\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u306a\u305c\u3053\u308c\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u5099\u3048\u305f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u6700\u5927\u9650\u306b\u9ad8\u3081\u308b<\/li>\n<li>\u4f5c\u696d\u8ca0\u8377\u3084\u30e6\u30fc\u30b6\u30fc\u306e\u75b2\u52b4\u3092\u8efd\u6e1b\u3057\u3001\u904b\u7528\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u6027\u3092\u9ad8\u3081\u308b<\/li>\n<li>\u4fdd\u5b88\u30fb\u62e1\u5f35\u304c\u5bb9\u6613\u3067\u3001\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306b\u6d3b\u7528\u3067\u304d\u308b<\/li>\n<li>\u8ab0\u3082\u304c\u7406\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u308b\u30b9\u30c8\u30fc\u30ea\u30fc\u3092\u63cf\u304d\u3001\u793e\u5185\u306e\u5408\u610f\u5f62\u6210\u3092\u4fc3\u9032\u3059\u308b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u8fc5\u901f\u306a\u5408\u610f\u5f62\u6210\u306f\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u306e\u4f4e\u3044\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u306f\u3001\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8005\u306e\u9593\u3067\u7570\u8ad6\u304c\u751f\u3058\u3084\u3059\u304f\u3001\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u304c\u5426\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u308a\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u3084\u308a\u76f4\u3057\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u308a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u6570\u65e5\u304b\u3089\u6570\u9031\u9593\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b\u6642\u9593\u3068\u30ea\u30bd\u30fc\u30b9\u304c\u6d6a\u8cbb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u4e8b\u614b\u306f\u3001\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u76ee\u6a19\u3068\u306e\u4e0d\u6574\u5408\u3001\u900f\u660e\u6027\u306e\u6b20\u5982\u306a\u3069\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306b\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u304d\u305f\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>\u4e00\u4eba\u3067\u53d6\u308a\u7d44\u3080\u3079\u304d\u304b\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u5358\u306a\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u51e6\u7406\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<strong>\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9f\u6027\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u5e02\u6cc1\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001\u6839\u62e0\u3042\u308b\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u884c\u3046\u305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href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/solutions\/pharmaceutical-forecasting-software\/\">\u5c02\u7528\u30bd\u30d5\u30c8\u30a6\u30a7\u30a2<\/a>\u3084<a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/solutions\/forecasting-training\/\">\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30cb\u30f3\u30b0<\/a>\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u3001\u793e\u5185\u306b\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u6027\u3092\u80b2\u6210\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8cb4\u793e\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u9ad8\u3081\u3001\u3088\u308a\u826f\u3044\u6226\u7565\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3092\u5b9f\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u305c\u3072<a href=\"https:\/\/www.evaluate.com\/ja\/contact\/\">\u304a\u6c17\u8efd\u306b\u3054\u76f8\u8ac7\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ref1: Cha, M., Rifai, B. &amp; Sarraf, P. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/nrd4127\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pharmaceutical forecasting: throwing darts?<\/a>. Nat Rev Drug Discov 12, 737\u2013738 (2013).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u52b9\u679c\u7684\u304b\u3064\u52b9\u7387\u7684\u306a\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u884c\u3046\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u512a\u308c\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u69cb\u7bc9\u304c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u4fe1\u983c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u30d3\u30b8\u30cd\u30b9\u76ee\u6a19\u306e\u9054\u6210\u3084\u30d6\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\uff0f\u4f01\u696d\u306e\u6210\u9577\u3092\u652f\u63f4\u3057\u3001\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u53ef\u8996\u5316\u3084\u6a5f\u4f1a\u306e\u5b9a\u91cf\u5316\u3092\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":30592,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[91,10,60],"content-hub":[137,125,123],"template-style":[],"class_list":["post-39600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-forecasting","tag-forecasts-market-landscape","tag-strategy-and-commericial","content-hub-forecasting-excellence","content-hub-mct","content-hub-training"],"acf":{"use_alternative_header_image":"No (delete to use alternative)","alternative_header_image":null,"banner_image":"","author_image":"","author":"","author_title":"","author_image_copy":"","author_copy":"","author_title_copy":"","form_field":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - 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