Eliquis: the cardio drug that cannot be beat

Bristol Myers Squibb’s clotbuster Eliquis is set to be this year’s biggest selling cardiac drug, Evaluate Pharma consensus forecasts suggest – and remarkably, it is forecast to retain the crown all the way to 2028. This comes courtesy of several court rulings preventing US generic competition until that year. Indeed the remarkable aspect of the top 10 drugs lists is the longevity of these products. Lipitor, only just dethroned by Keytruda as the bestselling drug of all time, was first launched in 1997 and is still bringing in swathes of cash for the generics business Viatris; Roche’s stroke therapy Activase is a decade older. Only two drugs not yet launched appear in the 2028 table: Cytokinetics’ cardiomyopathy project aficamten, due a pivotal readout this year, and Merck’s sotatercept, which already has highly positive pivotal data in pulmonary arterial hypertension. As for the leading companies, Novartis takes the current top spot buoyed by heart failure therapy Entresto; in 2028 it will also benefit from the PCSK9 Leqvio, though this will not make up for the sales shed by Entresto. All but one of this year’s top 10 companies will see their heart drug sales fall in the next five years. The exception is United Therapeutics, whose inhaled pulmonary arterial hypertension therapy Tyvaso is growing fast.

Top 10 cardiovascular drug sales: 2023
Product Company Indications 2023e sales ($bn)
Eliquis Bristol Myers Squibb/Pfizer Stroke prophylaxis 12.2
Entresto Novartis Chronic heart failure 5.8
Xarelto Bayer/J&J Stroke prophylaxis; Myocardial infarction, acute 2.9
Opsumit Johnson & Johnson Pulmonary hypertension 1.9
Lipitor Viatris Hyperlipidaemia 1.6
Repatha Amgen Hyperlipidaemia 1.6
Uptravi Johnson & Johnson Pulmonary hypertension 1.5
Tyvaso United Therapeutics Pulmonary hypertension 1.4
Lixiana Daiichi Sankyo Stroke prophylaxis 1.4
Activase Roche Myocardial infarction, acute 1.3
Source: Evaluate Pharma.

 

Top 10 cardiovascular companies 2023 & 2028
Company 2023e cardiovascular sales ($bn)   Company 2028e cardiovascular sales ($bn)
Novartis 7.8    Novartis 6.9
Pfizer 6.8   Bristol Myers Squibb 5.4
Bristol Myers Squibb 5.8   Merck & Co 4.0
Bayer 5.2   United Therapeutics 3.9
Johnson & Johnson 5.1   Pfizer 3.8
AstraZeneca 4.0   Sanofi 3.5
Sanofi 3.7   Bayer 3.4
Viatris 2.9   Johnson & Johnson 3.2
United Therapeutics 2.3   AstraZeneca 3.1
Daiichi Sankyo 2.0   Viatris 2.8
Source: Evaluate Pharma.

 

Top 10 cardiovascular drug sales: 2028
Product Company Indications 2028e sales ($bn)
Eliquis Bristol Myers Squibb/Pfizer Stroke prophylaxis 6.7
Tyvaso United Therapeutics Pulmonary hypertension 2.8
Entresto Novartis Chronic heart failure 2.7
Sotatercept Merck & Co Pulmonary hypertension 2.6
Repatha Amgen Hyperlipidaemia 2.2
Camzyos Bristol Myers Squibb Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; Chronic heart failure 2.1
Leqvio Novartis Hyperlipidaemia; Atherosclerosis 2
Aficamten Cytokinetics Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy 1.7
Lipitor Viatris Hyperlipidaemia 1.5
Activase Roche Myocardial infarction, acute 1.5
Source: Evaluate Pharma.

 

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