Mirati trips over the finish line

Accelerated approval for Mirati’s Kras inhibitor adagrasib – now trademarked Krazati – failed to lift the biotech’s beaten down stock this morning. The drug’s second-line NSCLC label compares favourably with Amgen’s rival agent Lumakras on efficacy, with no black box warning of QTc prolongation as feared, although potentially differentiating CNS data were omitted. On a call executives revealed that the confirmatory pivotal trial Krystal-12, which pits Krazati versus docetaxel, was moving to a dual primary endpoint of PFS and OS with enrolment almost doubling to 600 subjects. Mirati said this was agreed “in conjunction” with the FDA; the regulator presumably has Amgen’s struggles to show a survival benefit in its confirmatory phase 3 trial in mind. This shift gives Mirati the chance to outshine, but the trial will take longer to report and becomes more risky. Doubts about the first-line lung cancer opportunity are also growing, after data disappointed earlier this month and Mirati laid out a phase 3 strategy that involves trying to beat Keytruda, with or without chemo, in the various PD-1 expression cohorts. Investors' reaction to all this speaks volumes: the group's stock has more than halved since that disclosure, and dropped a further 10% at today's open, hitting a four-year low. 

Squaring off in second-line Kras mutated NSCLC
  ORR mDOR Patients with duration ≥ 6 months Hepatotoxicity (drug-induced liver injury)
Krazati 43% (n=112) 8.5 months 58% 1.7% (all grades) and 1.4% (Grade 3)
Lumakras 36% (n=124)  10.0 months  58% 0.3% (all grades) and 0.3% (Grade 3)
Source: FDA drug labels. 

Shooting at the elephant in the room? Mirati's 1st-line NSCLC strategy

Source: Mirati corporate presentation.

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