Antibody drug conjugates, they’re still red hot. In April, we saw Gilead pay over three billion for Tubulis in Germany. We saw Lilly pay several hundred million dollars for CrossBridge Bio. And of course late last year, that mega deal from Novartis paying $12 billion for Avidity. Evaluate’s forecasting that ADC sales collectively are going to reach over $57 billion by 2032. The attraction, of course, that this is a well-validated modality. There are a dozen or so ADCs already on the market in the US, but there’s also loads of room for improvement and loads of ways to improve ADCs. You can change the target, you can change the payload and/or you can change the conjugation technology that binds the parts together. So most of the ADCs on the market today use actually one of two types of cytotoxic drugs, the topoisomerase or the tubulin inhibitors. And that’s leading to some real problems with drug resistance.
So there are really urgent need on the payload front. But you also, in order to have new payloads, you need to be able to hook them on safely and effectively. So that’s where companies like Tubulis, their forte is in conjugation technology. CrossBridge Bio, similarly, they have a stable linker technology that they hope might allow multiple payloads to be hooked on. And there are already several dual payload ADCs in the clinic.
So in Avidity’s case, that’s interesting. They’re using RNA-based drugs as payloads and they call these antibody oligonucleotide conjugates. So they’re the ones Novartis has just bought. And these are being developed not for cancer, but for rare neuromuscular diseases. So we’re seeing indication expansion beyond cancer as well. Other companies are trying to hit more than one target with their ADC. So you may remember Takeda’s giant licensing deal last year with Innovent that featured a bispecific ADC hitting both EGFR and B7H3.And that’s just one example of many.
The permutations are almost endless. Companies are attaching degraders, radioligands, immunotherapies to their antibody conjugates and there are obviously many multi-specific ADCs in the pipeline. Of course, the whole lot can be combined with other kinds of medicines like checkpoint inhibitors.
There’ll be more deals to come.